Bank of Canada Holds Rate at 2.25% — April 29, 2026

Bill Fraser • April 29, 2026

The Bank of Canada announced today that it is holding its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. This decision comes against a backdrop of significant global uncertainty — and for Canadian homeowners, buyers, and anyone with a mortgage coming up for renewal, here's what it means.

What the Bank of Canada Said

A World Under Pressure

The Bank cited two major forces shaping today's decision: the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and continued uncertainty around U.S. trade policy. The Iran war has pushed energy prices sharply higher and disrupted transportation routes, squeezing oil-importing economies and pushing inflation up globally. Meanwhile, U.S. tariffs and shifting trade patterns continue to create headwinds for Canadian businesses and exporters.

Financial markets have been volatile, reflecting daily developments in the Middle East. Bond yields are modestly higher since January, and the U.S. dollar has strengthened against most major currencies — though the Canada-U.S. exchange rate has remained relatively stable.

The Canadian Economy

Canada's economy contracted in the fourth quarter of 2025, but growth is forecast to have resumed in early 2026. Consumer and government spending are providing support, while tariffs and trade uncertainty are weighing on exports and business investment. Housing activity has also declined, held back by slow population growth, economic uncertainty, and affordability challenges.

The labour market remains soft. Employment growth has been subdued over the past year, with job losses in sectors targeted by U.S. tariffs. The unemployment rate is sitting in the 6.5% to 7% range.

The Bank's April forecast projects GDP growth of 1.2% in 2026, rising to 1.6% in 2027 and 1.7% in 2028 as exports and business investment gradually recover.

Inflation

CPI inflation climbed to 2.4% in March, driven largely by higher gasoline prices. The Bank expects inflation to rise further in April — potentially reaching around 3% — before easing back toward the 2% target early next year as oil prices moderate. Core inflation has been holding steady at just above 2%.

Importantly, the Bank is watching carefully to ensure that higher energy prices don't feed through more broadly into goods and services prices. Longer-term inflation expectations remain anchored, which is a positive sign.

Why the Bank Held

With growth risks on one side and rising inflation pressures on the other, the Bank of Canada's Governing Council chose to hold steady at 2.25%. The Bank is "looking through" the immediate inflationary impact of the war in Iran, but has been clear that it will not allow higher energy prices to become entrenched inflation. As conditions evolve, the Bank stands ready to respond in either direction.

What This Means for Mortgage Holders and Buyers

A rate hold means no immediate change to variable-rate mortgage payments or home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) tied to the prime rate. The prime rate remains at 4.45%.

The bigger picture here is one of caution and patience. The Bank is navigating a genuinely difficult environment — balancing weak domestic growth against rising inflation risks from global energy prices. This uncertainty is likely to keep rates on hold for the foreseeable future, rather than signalling cuts or hikes in the near term.

For anyone thinking about locking in a fixed rate, renewing soon, or entering the market as a buyer, this environment calls for careful planning. The difference between rate options can mean thousands of dollars over the life of your mortgage.

The next scheduled rate announcement is June 10, 2026 .

As always, every borrower's situation is unique. If you have questions about how today's announcement affects your mortgage — or want to explore your options before the next decision — don't hesitate to reach out.

Information sourced from the Bank of Canada's official press release and Monetary Policy Report dated April 29, 2026.

BILL FRASER
OWNER / MORTGAGE EXPERT

BOOK AN APPOINTMENT CONTACT ME
RECENT POSTS

Wait! Are You Really Ready to Buy That Home?

By Bill Fraser • April 28, 2026
So, you’re thinking about buying a home. You’ve got Pinterest boards full of kitchen inspo, you’re casually scrolling listings at midnight, and your friends are talking about interest rates like they’re the weather. But before you dive headfirst into house hunting— wait . Let’s talk about what “ready” really means when it comes to one of the biggest purchases of your life. Because being ready to own a home is about way more than just having a down payment (although that’s part of it). Here are the real signs you're ready—or not quite yet—to take the plunge into homeownership: 1. You're Financially Stable (and Not Just on Payday) Homeownership isn’t a one-time cost. Sure, there’s the down payment, but don’t forget about: Closing costs Property taxes Maintenance & repairs Insurance Monthly mortgage payments If your budget is stretched thin every month or you don’t have an emergency fund, pressing pause might be smart. Owning a home can be more expensive than renting in the short term—and those unexpected costs will show up. 2. You’ve Got a Steady Income and Job Security Lenders like to see consistency. That doesn’t mean you need to be at the same job forever—but a reliable, documented income (ideally for at least 2 years) goes a long way in qualifying for a mortgage. Thinking of switching jobs or going self-employed? That might affect your eligibility, so timing is everything. 3. You Know Your Credit Score—and You’ve Worked On It Your credit score tells lenders how risky (or trustworthy) you are. A higher score opens more doors (literally), while a lower score may mean higher rates—or a declined application. Pro tip: Pull your credit report before applying. Fix errors, pay down balances, and avoid taking on new debt if you’re planning to buy soon. 4. You’re Ready to Stay Put (At Least for a Bit) Buying a home isn’t just a financial decision—it’s a lifestyle one. If you’re still figuring out your long-term plans, buying might not make sense just yet. Generally, staying in your home for at least 3–5 years helps balance the upfront costs and gives your investment time to grow. If you’re more of a “see where life takes me” person right now, that’s totally fine—renting can offer the flexibility you need. 5. You’re Not Just Buying Because Everyone Else Is This one’s big. You’re not behind. You’re not failing. And buying a home just because it seems like the “adult” thing to do is a fast way to end up with buyer’s remorse. Are you buying because it fits your goals? Because you’re ready to settle, invest in your future, and take care of a space that’s all yours? If the answer is yes—you’re in the right headspace. So… Are You Ready? If you’re nodding along to most of these, amazing! You might be more ready than you think. If you’re realizing there are a few things to get in order, that’s okay too. It’s way better to prepare well than to rush into something you're not ready for. Wherever you’re at, I’d love to help you take the next step—whether that’s getting pre-approved, making a plan, or just asking questions without pressure. Let’s make sure your homebuying journey starts strong. Connect anytime—I’m here when you’re ready.

Fixed vs. Variable Mortgage Rates in Canada

By Bill Fraser • April 14, 2026
Fixed vs. Variable Rate Mortgages: Which One Fits Your Life? Whether you’re buying your first home, refinancing your current mortgage, or approaching renewal, one big decision stands in your way: fixed or variable rate? It’s a question many homeowners wrestle with—and the right answer depends on your goals, lifestyle, and risk tolerance. Let’s break down the key differences so you can move forward with confidence. Fixed Rate: Stability & Predictability A fixed-rate mortgage offers one major advantage: peace of mind . Your interest rate stays the same for the entire term—usually five years—regardless of what happens in the broader economy. Pros: Your monthly payment never changes during the term. Ideal if you value budgeting certainty. Shields you from rate increases. Cons: Fixed rates are usually higher than variable rates at the outset. Penalties for breaking your mortgage early can be steep , thanks to something called the Interest Rate Differential (IRD) —a complex and often costly formula used by lenders. In fact, IRD penalties have been known to reach up to 4.5% of your mortgage balance in some cases. That’s a lot to pay if you need to move, refinance, or restructure your mortgage before the end of your term. Variable Rate: Flexibility & Potential Savings With a variable-rate mortgage , your interest rate moves with the market—specifically, it adjusts based on changes to the lender’s prime rate. For example, if your mortgage is set at Prime minus 0.50% and prime is 6.00% , your rate would be 5.50% . If prime increases or decreases, your mortgage rate will change too. Pros: Typically starts out lower than a fixed rate. Penalties are simpler and smaller —usually just three months’ interest (often 2–2.5 mortgage payments). Historically, many Canadians have paid less overall interest with a variable mortgage. Cons: Your payment could increase if rates rise. Not ideal if rate fluctuations keep you up at night. The Penalty Factor: Why It Matters More Than You Think One of the biggest surprises for homeowners is the cost of breaking a mortgage early —something nearly 6 out of 10 Canadians do before their term ends. Fixed Rate = Unpredictable, potentially high penalty (IRD) Variable Rate = Predictable, usually lower penalty (3 months’ interest) Even if you don’t plan to break your mortgage, life happens—career changes, family needs, or new opportunities could shift your path. So, Which One is Best? There’s no one-size-fits-all answer. A fixed rate might be perfect for someone who wants stable budgeting and plans to stay put for years. A variable rate might work better for someone who’s financially flexible and open to market changes—or who may need to exit their mortgage early. Ultimately, the best mortgage is the one that fits your goals and your reality —not just what the bank recommends. Let's Find the Right Fit Choosing between fixed and variable isn’t just about numbers—it’s about understanding your needs, your future plans, and how much financial flexibility you want. Let’s sit down and walk through your options together. I’ll help you make an informed, confident choice—no guesswork required.